Feb 5, 2026

Baily Beads Analysis for the Total Solar Eclipse 1979 Feb 26 from Oregon

Introduction

The main purpose were accurate timings of the beginning and end of totality near the southern edge of the Moon's shadow and the determination of the actual southern umbral limit.
At the time there was still considerable uncertainty in the computation of the Moon's position.
For the first time lunar limb corrections based on Watts chart profiles were applied among other improvements.

The Oregon State University expedition was positioned north of Madras, OR. More in my blog post from 2012 


A success: The O.S.U. Solar Eclipse Expedition to Madras, Oregon

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Three Saros cyles before in 1925 there had been a  similar endeavour from Manhattan basically from visual observations with filters.

The data for the moon's position and its shape has reached a level of precision which allows for the determination of the photospheric solar radius from observations in the graze zone just inside the umbra. Crucial are the data from the Lunar Orbiter Laser Altimeter (LOLA)  on NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO). They are used by the module "Baily Bead Analysis" in the Occult software by David Herald. See my evaluation for the total eclipse in Texas 2024 with a comparison of the results by the "Besselian Elements" team.

 

Occult4 simulations for TSE 1979 in Oregon for my location "1+2640" 44.683883° N -121.127917° E 753m WGS84 yield

C2 = 16:13:58.0 UTC  C3 = 16:14:16.0 UTC  -> predicted totality duration = 18.0 sec

 

Lunar limb plots combined for 16:13:58.0 16:14:08.0 16:14:16.0 UTC

 

 

 

 

Digitized slides from Kodak Ektachrome 400 f=270mm

slide 18 14:13:52.9 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

slide 19 14:14:01.7 UTC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

slide 20 14:14:20.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Click for animation from slides 18,19,20


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baily beads analysis 

The images from slides 18, 19, 20 are plotted with the limb profiles from Xavier Jubier  based on Kaguya data and Occult. The lunar limb profile matches with the last bead before C2 and first beads after C3. C3' is not correct in Jubier's graph which is based on the Kaguya profile.


































Discussion

Baily Beads

Just after the beginning of totality there are three whitish spots in slide 19 at the valleys PA 171.0, 175.2, 176.9. It is probably light from the elusive solar mesosphere which emits a pseudo-continuum spectrum of mostly helium emission lines.

The photosphere-corona Interface: enrichement of the corona in low FIP elements and helium shells - Bazin et. al. 

The variation of the solar diameter and irradiance : eclipse observation of July, 11, 2010 - Koutchmy et. al.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

After C3 there is s doublet of Baily beads which is easily explained by the Occult simulation.
C3 is caused by the valley at PA 206, the valley at PA 196 is filled with sunlight immediately after C3. On the tape I recorded "diamond again" 1.4 sec after "see diamond" at C3.

 

Evaluation of totality timings

The procedure was to watch on a projection screen for the disappearence of the last bead before totality and the appearence of the first bead after totality. Comments and the WWV time signals on shortwave radio were recorded on cassette tape. The tape was digitized and calibrated against the WWV 1 sec intervals. A new evaluation was done in 2024 using Audacity, replayed at half speed. See the annotated transcript in the appendix.

The results are
C2 = 08:14:00.3 UTC - almost coincident with the WWV beep
C3 = 08:14:18.9 UTC - is an upper limit, not allowing for my personal reaction time

Totality duration = 18.7 seconds.

 

Simulation with enlarged solar radius

A correction of + 0.32" was applied in Occult. The enlarged value 959.95" has been popular for more than 10 years for eclipse predictions.
The stacked limb plots are for UTC 16:14:00.0/00.5/08.0/12.0/13.0.
Predicted totality = 12 sec.
Before C2 there would be a double bead at PA 171.0 and 176.9.
C3 would occur at PA 196, not 206 as observed.

Limb plots for UTC 16:14:00.0/00.5/08.0/12.0/13.0 with enlarged solar radius + 0.32"










Summary

 
Based on the Baily Bead analysis in Occult 4 by David Herald a nearly perfect reconstruction of the TSE of Feb. 26, 1979 from the graze zone in Oregon is achieved using the standard solar radius 969.63".
The duration of totality is 18 sec predicted vs. ca. 18.7 sec observed from my location at site 1+2640
The predicted time for C2 is 2.3 sec early compared to observation.
The predicted time for C3 is 2.9 sec early compared to observation.


Hints of the elusive solar mesosphere were imaged on a slide taken at f=270mm focal length.

The slides by Robert Dale Hall using an 8" f/10 Criterion Schmidt/Cassegrain from site 1+5280 are also perfectly consistent with the standard solar radius 969.63".
In hindsight it's hard not to overlook the solar mesosphere in his images.

Shadow bands were readily seen visually but did not show up on b/w photos.

 

Images through a Criterion Dynamax 8 telescope 

f=2000mm by Robert Dale Hall and comparison with Occult moon limb profile

 

last bead before C2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

first bead after C3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

partial phase after C3


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C2 and Occult profile

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


C3 and Occult profile

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C2+C3 and Jubier profile


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C2 C3 and Jubier profile

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Appendix

 

Annotated tape transcript










Literature

Solar radius determination

 

Dunham 1980

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sofia et. al. 1980

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sofia et. al. 1980

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Solar Radius Variations Measured in Central Eclipses

Sigismondi 2008


 

 

 

 

 

 

https://www.icranet.org/download/ESOP/Slides/dunham0.pdf

Dunham 2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Solar mesosphere

Sigismondi et. al. 2012









Bazin, Koutchmy 2013











Bazin et. al. 2014













Jan 23, 2026

TSE 2026 in Spain - Preview

Iberian Peninsula or Baleares

Overview maps by IGN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

more 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The best cloud cover average is about 23% for the Madrid area and Baleares according to the climate study by Jay Anderson

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Satellite animations for August 2024 prepared from NASA worldview - Aqua/Modis afternoon


Satellite animations for August 2025 prepared from NASA worldview - Aqua/Modis afternoon

 


Balearen - Die vier schönen Schwestern 4/4 3sat-Doku Formentera
 







Webcams







More
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
2025 Aug 12


2025 Aug 03





Conclusion - my 2 cents:
Going to the Baleares to see the total solar eclipse is a gamble.
There will not be a crystal clear winter sky comparable to the sunset eclipse in Patagonia July 11, 2010 
Expect haze and one cloud too many - see the sunset images for Formentera.
 



Nov 3, 2024

Baily Beads Analysis for the solar eclipse 2024 Apr 08 in Stephenville TX

Comparison of Baily Beads Analysis in Occult 4 by David Herald and the predictions by the Besselian Elements team/John Irwin in JOA2024_4.pdf

following up SEML msg #33125 Oct. 09 2024
https://groups.io/g/SEML/message/33125
An article we wrote on experimentally assessing eclipse maps accuracy has recently been published in the Journal for Occultation Astronomy:
https://iota-es.de/JOA/JOA2024_4.pdf
Few months ago we started a discussion on SEML about the subject: the article presents further experimental data and it provides a more thorough analysis of the matter. We hope it will contribute to the appreciation of the subtle art of eclipse predictions and mapping.
Kind Regards, Luca Quaglia on behalf of the Besselian Elements Team
 

Figure5 on pg 6 JOA2024_4.pdf
Occult limbplot for C2

Occult limbplot for C3

Screenshot Occult for C2


Screenshot Occult for C3


An insightful discussion of the TSE2024 in the northern graze zone - that paper is also most valuable in the comparison of various eclipse prediction/simulation tools.
How does Occult 4 fit in here?
I cross-checked the predictions by John Irvin of the Besselian Elements team using the paramaters given for the Stephenville, TX site and the published "eclipse solar radius" r=959.95".
I get 14 sec for the duration of totality within the accuracy of reading the graph to the nearest half-second which is essentially identical to 13.7 s in JOA2024_4.pdf.
The contact times  C2 and C3 are approx. 1 sec earlier in Occult: C2=18:39:05.5, C3=18:39:19.5. than reported (18:39:06.6 and 18:39:20.3).

First of all this is quite comforting for users of Occult.
What might be the reason for the offset of 1 sec in time?
Occult uses the ephemeris DE435 while Besselian Elements/John Irwin use DE440, there might  be other causes. 

BTW it is essential to use the latest EOP (Earth orientation) parameters in Occult.

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